Publications

The Hamilton Project produces and commissions policy proposals and analyses to promote broad-based economic growth by embracing a significant role for well-designed government policies and public investment.

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Posts October 22, 2024

Event recap—How would across-the-board tariffs create chaos in 2025?

On October 17, The Hamilton Project and the Peterson Institute for International Economics hosted a webinar to discuss the economic implications of across-the-…
Posts October 16, 2024

Immigration and the macroeconomy after 2024

This analysis explores the potential effects of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies on GDP growth.
Posts October 7, 2024

Tariffs on all imports would create chaos for business

Wendy Edelberg and Maurice Obstfeld warn that tariffs on all U.S. imports would create chaos for American businesses.
Papers March 7, 2024

New immigration estimates help make sense of the pace of employment

This analysis considers recent immigration flows and implications for the labor market, consumer spending, GDP, and inflation.
Posts November 16, 2023

High mortgage rates are probably here for a while (November 2023)

An analysis identifies factors behind the increase in mortgage rates and the gap between mortgage rates and U.S. Treasury securities.
Posts May 23, 2023

Debt ceiling brinksmanship has clear negative effects on taxpayers

Debt limit brinksmanship is already impacting Treasury securities. The increase in interest rates represents a cost to taxpayers and a lack of confidence among…
Posts March 23, 2023

Are we headed for the soft-ish landing projected by CBO and the Fed?

Recent CBO and Fed projections point toward a soft-ish landing: a return to low inflation with only a modest slowdown in economic activity and the labor market.
Posts December 9, 2022

Event recap—The economic benefits of immigration

A December 2022 webcast featuring Sen. Joe Manchin and two roundtables of experts explored how to increase and more equitably share the economic benefits of im…
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