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The Hamilton Project produces and commissions policy proposals and analyses to promote broad-based economic growth by embracing a significant role for well-designed government policies and public investment.
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Work permit applications suggest prior immigration is still pushing up labor supply—for now
Work permit applications remain elevated despite recent immigration slowdowns, illustrating a lag between policy changes and labor market effects that will continue impacting labor supply through 2025.
Employment & Wages
Immigration
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Prime-age women are going above and beyond in the labor market recovery
The greatest contributors to the post-pandemic rebound in labor force participation are prime-age women–remarkably, those with young children.
Deteriorating household finances will not support strong spending
An analysis of household finances finds that Americans face a financial choice: slow down their spending or take on more debt.
Who’s missing from the post-pandemic labor force?
An analysis backcasts census population revision in order to create a more informative point of comparison for the current size of the workforce and labor forc…
The labor market needs to soften—but not as much as some think
Two measures suggest different gaps between the current strength in the labor market and what a more sustainable level would be. This analysis finds that the r…
A closer look at a hot labor market
This analysis uses JOLTS data to determine the degree to which firms that are looking to hire a significant number of workers can or cannot expand employment.
An industrial policy for good jobs
A modern approach to industrial policy must target "good-jobs externalities" and include the service sector, Dani Rodrik argues. He proposes two specific initi…
Nine facts about the service sector in the United States
Nine factors about the service sector illustrate recent trends in spending, employment, and inflation as the country continues to rebalance.
A COVID-19 labor force legacy: The drop in dual-worker families
Katherine Lim and Ryan Nunn examine why some prime-aged workers are not participating in the labor force.
